Utilisateur:Liveteve/Sondages sur l'élection présidentielle française de 2017
Cette page dresse la liste des sondages d'opinions relatifs à l'élection présidentielle française de 2017.
Premier tour modifier
| Institut | Date | Échantillon | Abstention | 
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| Le Pen FN |
Dupont-Aignan DLF |
Sarkozy UMP |
Juppé UMP |
Fillon UMP |
Copé UMP |
Cheminade S&P |
Bayrou MoDem |
Joly EELV |
Duflot EELV |
Hollande PS – Sortant |
Valls PS |
Montebourg PS |
Aubry PS |
Mélenchon FG |
Poutou NPA |
Besancenot NPA |
Arthaud LO | ||||
| Conseil Constitutionnel | 22 Avril 2012 | N/A | 22.0% | 17.9% | 1.8% | 27.2% | – | – | – | 0.3% | 9.1% | 2.3% | – | 28.6% | – | – | – | 11.1% | 1.2% | – | 0.6% |
| Ifop | 9 - 12 Octobre 2012 | 1,607 | – | 19.5% | 2% | 29.5% | – | – | – | 0% | 7% | 2% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 10% | 1.5% | – | 0.5% |
| Ifop | 11 - 15 Avril 2013 | 1,967 | – | 22% | 2% | 30% | – | – | – | <0.5% | 10% | 1.5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 11% | 1% | – | 0.5% |
| Opinion Way | 16 - 17 Avril 2013 | 1,022 | 17% | 21% | 2% | 28% | – | – | – | 0% | 11% | 3% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 11% | 0.5% | – | 0.5% |
| CSA | 26 - 28 Avril 2013 | 1,027 | 16% | 23% | 1% | 34% | – | – | – | 1% | 7% | 2% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 12% | 1% | – | 0.5% |
| Future Thinking | 26 - 29 Avril 2013 | 1,000 | 26% | 22% | 3% | 32% | – | – | – | <0.5% | 10% | 2% | – | 15% | – | – | – | 15% | 1% | – | 0% |
| 29% | 29% | 3% | – | – | 16% | – | 1% | 13% | 2% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 16% | 1% | – | 0% | |||
| 31% | 31% | 4% | – | – | – | 11% | 1% | 14% | 3% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 16% | 1% | – | 1% | |||
| BVA | 2 - 3 Mai 2013 | 1,086 | 12% | 24% | 2% | 29% | – | – | – | 0% | 10% | 2% | – | 20% | – | – | – | 11% | 1% | – | 1% |
| Opinion Way | 11- 13 Avril 2014 | 1,023 | 12% | 25% | 3% | 29% | – | – | – | 0% | 8% | 2% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 11% | 2% | – | 1% |
| Ifop | 15 - 18 Avril 2014 | 998 | – | 24% | 2% | 31% | – | – | – | 0% | 11% | 3% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 0.5% |
| – | 26% | 2% | – | 30% | – | – | 0% | 10% | 3% | – | 18% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 0.5% | |||
| – | 29% | 2.5% | – | – | 22% | – | 0% | 13% | 3% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 1% | |||
| Ifop | 21 - 22 Juillet 2014 | 947 | – | 26% | 3% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 13% | – | 3% | 17% | – | – | – | 10% | 1% | – | 2% |
| – | 26% | 3% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | 3% | – | 17% | – | – | 11% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| – | 27% | 3% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 16% | – | 4% | – | – | 10% | – | 11% | 1% | – | 2% | |||
| Ifop | 3 - 4 Septembre 2014 | 994 | – | 28% | 4% | 25% | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | 3% | 16% | – | – | – | 10% | 1% | – | 1% |
| – | 30% | 4% | – | 24% | – | – | – | 11% | – | 3% | 16% | – | – | – | 10% | 1% | – | 1% | |||
| – | 32% | 5% | – | – | 17% | – | – | 14% | – | 3% | 17% | – | – | – | 10% | 1% | – | 1% | |||
| Ifop | 28 - 30 Octobre 2014 | 1,382 | – | 29% | 3% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 13% | – | 3% | 14% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% |
| – | 30% | 4% | – | 28% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 3% | 13% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
| – | 32% | 4% | – | 32% | – | – | – | – | – | 4% | 15% | – | – | – | 10% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
| – | 31% | 5% | – | – | 18% | – | – | 16% | – | 4% | 14% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
| – | 29% | 4% | 26% | – | – | – | – | 14% | – | – | 15% | – | – | – | 9% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
| – | 27% | 3.5% | 27% | – | – | – | – | 14% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 14% | 8% | 1.5% | – | 2% | |||
| – | 29% | 4% | – | 30% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 2% | – | – | – | 13% | 9% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
| – | 27% | 3% | 27% | – | – | – | – | 13% | – | 3% | – | 15% | – | – | 8.5% | 1.5% | – | 2% | |||
| Ifop | 21 - 23 Janvier 2015 | 983 | – | 29% | 4% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 3% | 21% | – | – | – | 8% | 2% | – | 1% |
| – | 31% | 3% | – | 23% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 4% | 21% | – | – | – | 8% | 2% | – | 1% | |||
| – | 30% | 3% | 23% | – | – | – | – | 7% | – | 4% | – | 23% | – | – | 8% | 1% | – | 1% | |||
| – | 31% | 3% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 7% | – | 3% | – | 23% | – | – | 8% | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | |||
| CSA | 27 - 29 Janvier 2015 | 1,014 | – | 29% | 2,5% | 22,5% | – | – | – | – | 11% | – | 2,5% | 19% | – | – | – | 10% | – | 3% | 0,5% |
| – | 32% | 2,5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | 9% | – | 2% | 18% | – | – | – | 11% | – | 3% | 0,5% | |||
| – | 29% | 2,5% | 21,5% | – | – | – | – | 10% | – | 2% | – | 22,5% | – | – | 9% | – | 3% | 0,5% | |||
| – | 33% | 3% | – | 19% | – | – | – | 8% | – | 3% | – | 21% | – | – | 10% | – | 2,5% | 0,5% | |||
Second tour modifier
Hollande–Sarkozy modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Hollande PS – Incumbent |
Nicolas Sarkozy UMP | ||||
| Second round results | 6 May 2012 | N/A | 24.3% | 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Ifop | 9–12 Oct 2012 | 1,607 | – | 50% | 50% |
| Opinion Way | 16–17 Apr 2013 | 1,022 | 28% | 47% | 53% |
| CSA | 26–28 Apr 2013 | 1,027 | 27% | 39% | 61% |
| Opinion Way | 11–13 Apr 2014 | 1,023 | 36% | 39% | 61% |
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 39% | 61% |
| Ifop | 21–23 Jan 2015 | 983 | – | 43% | 57% |
Hollande–Le Pen modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Hollande PS – Incumbent |
Marine Le Pen FN | ||||
| Opinion Way | 11–13 Apr 2014 | 1,023 | 36% | 54% | 46% |
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 46% | 54% |
| Ifop | 21–23 Jan 2015 | 983 | – | 55% | 45% |
Hollande–Fillon modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Hollande PS – Incumbent |
François Fillon UMP | ||||
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 38% | 62% |
Hollande–Juppé modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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| François Hollande PS – Incumbent |
Alain Juppé UMP | ||||
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 34% | 66% |
| Ifop | 21–23 Jan 2015 | 983 | – | 40% | 60% |
Sarkozy–Le Pen modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Sarkozy UMP |
Marine Le Pen FN | ||||
| CSA | 26–28 Apr 2013 | 1,027 | 36% | 67% | 33% |
| Opinion Way | 11–13 Apr 2014 | 1,023 | 37% | 67% | 33% |
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 60% | 40% |
| Ifop | 21–23 Jan 2015 | 983 | – | 60% | 40% |
Juppé–Le Pen modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alain Juppé UMP |
Marine Le Pen FN | ||||
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 64% | 36% |
Fillon–Le Pen modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| François Fillon UMP |
Marine Le Pen FN | ||||
| Ifop | 3–4 Sep 2014 | 994 | – | 57% | 43% |
Valls–Le Pen modifier
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Abstention/ protest vote/ spoilt vote |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Valls PS |
Marine Le Pen FN | ||||
| Ifop | 21–23 Jan 2015 | 983 | – | 61% | 39% |